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This will be a thread dedicated to the evidential problem of theism (which is a subset of supernaturalism).
Basically, evidentiary arguments against theism generally adopt a Bayesian form as opposed to a frequentist one.
According to Bayes' theorem (which is used in probability) "evidence" is seen as something which is more likely on event
A than on event
B.
It also takes into account
prior probabilities, e.g:
theism:- There is a God who directly intervenes in the Universe.
- There is a heaven/hell.
- Life is a test from God.
- Basically, anything which is attributed to supernaturalism is de facto an assumption of theism.
Metaphysical naturalism:- The belief that everything arises from natural properties and causes.
- Supernaturalism is not real.
As you can see, theism makes more assumptions than (Metaphysical) naturalism. As a result of this, the prior probability of theism being true < the prior probability of Naturalism being true.
Taking all of this into account, I want to compile a thread full of evidentiary arguments against theism.
Feel free to contribute.