What is the worst case scenario, and what is the best case scenario for Pakistan in the long term, in your opinion?
Worst case scenario is what is already happening. The state is virtually powerless and/or apathetic. More and more people own guns there, and have private security guards (the ones who can afford those, of course, the poorer ones who are the majority have less than zero protections).
Most people just want the military to take over - they figure with tanks on the streets, at least the terrorist attacks will go down. But of course, there are other problems that martial law brings.
Best case scenario:
-Instead of sending aid, wealthier countries need to enact a kind of
Marshall Plan there. I.e. go in and build free, good quality schools and hospitals. Provide food and housing. The BILLIONS that western countries send to Pakistan are mostly, largely, pocketed by politicians and the wealthiest bureaucrats. The people are still getting fucked even though Pakistan gets a ton of aid. So of course, the religious fundies go in and provide those
social services (healthcare, education, food, shelter, employment) that the state should be providing.
Best case scenario would be if western nations' govts realized that throwing money at just the elites in Pakistan will
never solve the problems there but is making things
worse.